The VIX got taken out to the woodshed yesterday, down over 9% while I was out enjoying the day. Yet this was also in conjunction with a bounce in the dollar. Overnight, the ES futures plunged to 1151.75. In fact, I woke up at around 4am EST and nearly every market was down worldwide with few exceptions.
Often at the end of a trend, cross-currents appear that don't always make sense.
Instead of trying to figure them out, I try to keep it simple. That means sticking with my plan of accumulating volatility. I'll be looking for VXX below 15 and November VIX 20 calls on any strong market bounce. My October VIX calls got crushed yesterday, but they are paid for by my small long position from Friday morning.
I'm still looking for the S&P cash to get to its swing point from 5/13/10 of 1173.57. The Dow exceeded its swing point from that time, but the S&P, Russ, and Naz have not. If they fail to confirm, that will obviously say a great deal. For now it's only bullish non-confirmation.
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