I'm looking at two spots this morning: 1188.75, just below where the ES is trading now, and the 1200 - 1204 area on the ES. Depending on which one we get to, I'll be using OEX 540 calls or puts and then look to hedge them with a leveraged ETF. I do this when I'm using Tradestation so that the trades clear from the same account. With Interactive Brokers, I can trade options against futures and they clear from the same account, which I prefer. But I prefer the quicker TS trading interface. I've been asking TS to evolve their clearing ability for a while now, and they tell me it's on the way. In the meantime I prefer not to rob Peter to pay Paul.
I'm not gleaning anything from the overnight action. Instead, I'm seeing a tremendous amount of cross currents. Charts look terribly confused. Not seeing anything worthy of big bets at this juncture.
The most important thing in the past 24 hours was Bernanke's speech in Frankfurt. He pretty much pulled the fire alarm, although in a covert way. I'll have much more to say in a later post.
The market used up a lot of fuel yesterday. I'm keeping that in mind when trading the OEX today. Lately they've been getting pinned at the end of day which causes them to go out worthless. I think the play will be in the morning, concurrent with the S&P options expiration.
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