The collision of global markets and social mood

Monday, February 13, 2012

Another Shot At the Highs

Looks like we'll get another shot at the highs. Futures look like they're on the way to a date with destiny at 1352.25, the overnight high from Thursday. I did not think the pattern was complete and that it needed another down-up subdivision. The market seems to agree so far.

OEX puts will not be priced right this early in the week. I'll be using SPY puts to accumulate a spec short position, and will trade against them with the e-mini, SSO, and UPRO, depending on which account I'm using.

The cost of the Greek bailout is now roughly $425 billion. I do not think the ECB can afford Spain, Portugal, Ireland, and Italy with a current burn rate projecting to $2.1+ trillion. So the fact that the futures are up because of the latest Greek bailout deal is meaningless.

4 comments:

  1. What? No Grammy commentary? Still, I like your take on things. Sane and reasonable, in contrast to futures. I still need to wrap my head around the New Valuations. k

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  2. Very kind comments, K. Nice of you to say. Sorry for Grammy letdown ;) (((confess i didn't even watch 'em)))

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  3. uh-oh, i did it again! can you please delete.. it was the wine, really.

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  4. Got it. Done. Sorry it took so long. Sounds like a swell vacay you had. Very nice!

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