This is one of those times when I'm gaining more insight from the charts of the Russell, the NASDAQ, and the NDX 100. Each one suggests corrective rather than impulsive action. And while the wave structure of the S&P is less certain, Fibonacci may be lending a hand. Tuesday's bounce came before the 23.6% level was reached, then Thursday's bounce came before the 38% level was reached. So nothing has occurred thus far to suggest that any major index has broken, except that they've corrected a bit, and have done so on lighter volume.
Across the broader futures complex this morning, I'm seeing a lot of green. Bonds, energy, grains, softs, metals, Forex, they're all looking very Springy.
I'm searching for spots to be long while using setups on my 30 minute charts. VIX is low. Options are priced very well. SPY 138 and 139 calls, depending on where the S&P is trading, are still my favored way to game the market until it tips its hand. While it could be a frustratingly long wait for trade above 1407.23 for that signal, perhaps a failure to extend lower would give a much better entry.
The 38% Fibonacci level remains untouched at 1385.74 and the hard stop is still 1374.76.
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