The collision of global markets and social mood

Monday, June 11, 2012

The Real News Is Higher Bond Spreads


Here's what the Spanish bailout looked like in the bond markets.  The opposite reaction that one would expect.  Yield spreads went higher.  This is a preview of what will happen someday soon when the latest Fed-induced stimulus will cause the equity markets to tank.

S&P futures exploded on this news last night.  In fact, you could see it in the late day ramp up and in the 15 minute post-market on Friday afternoon.   Now futures are in the middle of this range, the high of which is 1342.  I don't know if we'll test the equivalent of this level on the S&P cash today, but I'll bet we do at some point.

Today rather, the number is likely 1334.93.  There was lower volume on Friday than any day last week, and A/Ds were weaker too.  While I think we see higher prices, there could be a sizable correction on the gains since the 1266.74 lows at any time.

No comments:

Post a Comment