The collision of global markets and social mood

Monday, July 16, 2012

Right Or Wrong

Futures look like they are trying to break out of a declining wedge in the pre-market, but anything above 1349.75 (on the ES) will negate it.

As usual, the more important numbers for me are found on the S&P cash index.  1325.41 should not be broken if 1380-1400 is on the table, although 1309.27 is still the big number for me.  I fully expect the market to pull back today after Friday's "out-of-nowhere" rally.  While I did say the target was 1374.81, not even 1361.54 was exceeded, so that's why my focus now includes 1325.41.  Below that would merely get interesting, while below 1309.27 would mean that my plans to get ultra short would be foiled.

Of course those "third of a third" wave counts have been tweaked to allow for Friday's rally.  That's fine.  It's yet another one of those times when I'm out on my own.  If I am wrong, it should become apparent very soon.


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