The collision of global markets and social mood

Thursday, March 1, 2012

Starting To Look Corrective Again

Traded against my growing put position yesterday and things got a little messy at times. But I'm slowly starting to think that I will have another chance to add to them at 1380. The S&P's structure is starting to look corrective -- 3-waves down in an a-b-c fashion. This suggests new highs yet again.

That said, I still think the path of least resistance is down. So I hope we can see 1380 again, to get shorter.

Futures held up well overnight. They're currently testing the equivalent of 1370.71 on the cash, which if exceeded on the cash index in the regular session, would strongly suggest to me that we've just seen another correction.

Unless the S&P extends to the downside today and cracks well below 1360, I will feel justified with my play yesterday. I took it on the chin a couple times by buying calls but stuck with my rules. I own SPY 137 weekly calls. I will add SPY 137s expiring next week down to 1360, and depending on how things look, may take profits on my 130 puts if I think I can reload higher (1380 area).

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