The collision of global markets and social mood

Wednesday, March 4, 2015

Wednesday -- Charts of S&P Scenarios

ES Futures:
Holding above yesterday's low. Key.

News:
JGB yields higher again.

FX:
USD may be getting ready for a slight pullback. Moves in Scandie currencies looking close to pullbacks as well. Euro ticks away from fresh lows.

Was looking for a bounce in the Aussie, but not like the weak one that has transpired thus far. Will stand aside anticipating further lows.

Treasuries:
Dec. 24th lows in 5s and 10s holding and with any luck, these will rally to new highs which could finally mark the end of the line.

Energy:
NG looks better than Crude, but is rallying on very light volume. Both are still in low odds areas for me.

Metals:
Gold basically in the same place as yesterday.

S&P Outlook:

This scenario argues for a wedge to about the 2300 area
then an extremely sharp pullback.

This scenario argues for a little pain now for more gain later,
up to 2300 or possibly even 2500.



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