The collision of global markets and social mood

Wednesday, January 6, 2016

Wednesday -- Korea Goes Mini, S&P Freaks

S&P E-mini Futures:
Down hard, again.

News:
China data spooked once more, crude oil is flipping people out, and Korea has gone nuts, having successfully tested a miniaturized hydrogen nuclear bomb -- you know, like a suitcase.

That's probably the fear, anyway.

Another Chinese yuan devaluation is sticking to export countries.

FX:
Watch the yen, which for now has more bets against it than the yuan could dream of. USDJPY below 118.055 could become a rather large market problem (though it seems to be firming today).

Commdolls AUD and CAD down.

Treasuries:
Rallying, but not seeing the volume yet. Guess we've got all day.

Energy:
WTI crude probing fresh lows as expected. NG slightly lower.

Metals:
No safe haven bid for gold, only slightly higher. Silver and copper down.

S&P Outlook:
Yesterday bounced to a nice Fib area -- just short of the 38% -- which is weak. For it to sell off hard afterward targets the 1960-1970 area, but also brings a 1:1 Fib extension target at the 1935 area that could ruffle some feathers.

Failure to reach the full extension, coupled with persistent divergence on the daily Advance/Decline line could bring a large upside reversal.

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