The collision of global markets and social mood

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Tuesday -- Never Say Never

S&P E-mini Futures:
Follow through higher.

Markets:
Asia and Europe green but for Spain, where equities are lower and yields are higher.

Officials from Catalonia are moving ahead once again for a push for independence from Spain.

Keeping an eye on China, not as savior but as an implosion candidate:

China's Hidden Debt Stirs Investor Angst as Defaults Rise

Mood:
Never say Never.
Source: L'Humanité

A European currency strategist was quoted: "(The second round of the election) is going to be a non-event for the market." Really?

A 20% lumber tariff on Canada? Not the best optics with our largest trading partner & peaceful next door neighbor.

Magic Johnson launches infrastructure fund (Marketwatch). No comment.

And Vanity Fair just proved that Justin Bieber still tracks social mood remarkably well.

Justin Bieber Is a Changed Man

The best is yet to come . . .

FX:
Not quiet today. Big moves.

Commodity currencies hit. EUR & GBP stronger. USD is in a bad neighborhood and needs to act fast.

Safe haven bid to CHF but JPY weaker.

Treasuries:
Prices under pressure once more.

Energy:
WTI crude and NG down in unison again.

48 and 55 area key to oil's pattern thus far.

Metals:
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium down. Copper brighter by more than 1%.

S&P Outlook:
SPX 2378.36 looks set to break, as does Dow 20,887.50. NDX continues into the ether.

Once again, reminiscent of pre-Brexit, markets feel just a little too sure of themselves heading into the French election runoff.

In bi-polar fashion, "surprising disappointment" has flipped to euphoria in mere hours.

New Dow & S&P highs are needed promptly or else larger, more complex corrective patterns can take over at any time (Turnaround Tuesday? New Moon Wednesday).




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